Betting Tips
Stuttgart and Hamburger SV lock horns at the Mercedes-Benz Arena for the first leg of the Bundesliga relegation playoff on Thursday night.
In their final game of the season, Hamburg believed they had won automatic promotion to the Bundesliga after defeating Sandhausen 1-0. Before they realized Heidenheim had surpassed them and relegated Hamburg to this playoff, their supporters invaded the field.
Tim Walter now has the difficult challenge of leading his team over that setback, and they face a difficult opponent in Stuttgart, who has fought back after a shaky start to the season to offer themselves a chance of remaining in the Bundesliga next year.
Stuttgart vs Hamburg SV
Stuttgart had a poor season after three seasons in the Bundesliga; as a result, they may play in the 2. Bundesliga in the next months. Stuttgart put in a strong performance in the final three games, winning five points, but they fell one point shy of avoiding the relegation playoff.
Stuttgart and Hoffenheim tied 1-1 at home over the last weekend. 19 shots were on goal, and the home team had 57% of control of the ball, but once more they were unable to earn all three points.
HSV ended with one point fewer than Heidenheim and Darmstadt, who took the top two slots in the 2. Bundesliga. HSV, who won the German championship six times total, will ultimately have a chance to advance through the playoff. The past three games were victories for HSV. They defeated Sandhausen 1-0 on the road in the previous encounter.
The men of Sebastian Hoeneb have been inconsistent for an extended period of time. Stuttgart has only recorded one victory in their past five games, despite setting a significant marker on May 21 when they blasted to a sensational 4-1 triumph away at Mainz.
Tim Walter’s team finished their Bundesliga II campaign with a tenacious 1-0 victory away at Sandhausen, and they have now won each of their past three matches in the second division by an average score of 8-2. The action-packed 5-1 rout at Regensburg on May 14 was the peak of that run, and the former Stuttgart manager will be itching to seek revenge on his former employers tonight.
Verdict
Stuttgart has been playing well lately. They defeated Mainz 4-1 two games ago and recently earned draws against Borussia Dortmund and Bayer Leverkusen.
They should be able to win the first leg of this playoff, which is played at home, with that level of play. But in Stuttgart’s last nine games, both teams have scored.
In four of the most recent six away games in the 2. Bundesliga, Hamburger SV have given up at least two goals. We have grounds to anticipate a home victory in a high-scoring scenario on Thursday given how dangerous Stuttgart has been attacking recently.
Stuttgart’s defense has issues. In the previous six games, they gave up nine goals. Four of those six games had over 2.5 goals as well.
In the previous six games, HSV scored 16 goals. Furthermore, 2.5 goals were scored in five of those six games. For this game, the optimal wager should be over 2.5 goals. Thursday night’s matchup at the Mercedes-Benz Arena between two teams that ultimately fell one point short of securing an automatic Bundesliga spot might be exciting. They both frequently produce fireworks when they play, with Stuttgart winning an exciting 3-2 matchup against Hamburger back in May 2020.
Tip: BTTS (YES) / Over 2.5 Goals
BTTS – ❌
Over 2.5 Goals – ✅
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Football Lover. All-round junkie of the beautiful game. Could be found watching football most of the time. If not he’s writing about them or making some punditry you don’t agree with. A certain bias for Arsenal and Santos FC.