Basketball is a very popular sport in Nigeria, as the NBA is the strongest basketball league in the world.
With so much enthusiasm for basketball, sports betting on basketball has also grown accordingly, and therefore, it is advisable to know the best ways to make winning basketball predictions.
The basis of basketball predictions is statistics, and that is what we focus on here at Topbets Nigeria. Since in this sport absolutely everything is counted: rebounds, statistics, steals, blocks, turnovers, etc., this makes basketball the passion of the most statistical bettors.
The most popular basketball competitions are those with the highest betting volume: the NBA, EuroLeague, and EuroCup. Other competitions worth considering include the Spanish Liga ACB (which we would use for most examples here), the Champions League, etc.
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Our Basketball Predictions
Our basketball predictions are based on the following fundamental aspects:
- Team form: We analyze the most recent results, home and away performance, as well as the presence of any injured players in the match.
- Total points estimate: We use each team’s average scoring for and against to predict the number of points that will be scored in the game.
- Player proposition bets: We assess whether a player will exceed a certain line in points, rebounds, assists, or steals, taking into account the opposing team’s weakness in that aspect of the game.
- Differences between competitions: We consider the particularities of each league, such as the crucial role of stars in the NBA or the greater ability to cover absences in European basketball, to make basketball predictions.
How to Prepare Basketball Predictions?
Understanding how to prepare and choose the best market options for each basketball game is crucial. To prepare basketball predictions, we follow these steps:
- First, we need to review the form of the teams facing each other, and then their results when playing at home and away, to see how much it affects them.
- Next, we will evaluate the average points scored on offense and defense, as these will give us many clues about the teams’ playing style.
- Then, and in a more technical way to achieve the best basketball predictions, there is the assessment of the strengths and weaknesses of the teams in terms of rebounds, assists, steals, and so on.
- It’s also helpful to review each team’s strengths. For example, some teams excel at three-point shooting, while others are more effective in the paint. Seeing how each team defends against these options can help us make a more accurate prediction.
Tips for Your Basketball Predictions
We’ve got some tips for your basketball predictions. In addition to the general advice on studying, being prudent, and managing your bankroll, let’s look at some specific ideas for basketball predictions.
The impact of a star player: While it’s a significant loss, Jabari Parker’s missing a Barcelona game isn’t as critical as LeBron James’ missing a Lakers game. Absences don’t affect all teams equally; it’s crucial to assess the true impact of each team’s star player in the event of another absence or accumulated fatigue.
Teammates benefit from injuries: When betting on specific player performances, a key factor in injuries is the impact they will have on the team. For example, Mirutinov of CSKA was the EuroLeague’s leading rebounder when he was injured. This meant that the team’s second-tallest player, who was averaging only 10 minutes per game, started and played significantly more, thus improving his points and rebounding averages.
Interpret the stats: Stats are the most valuable information we have in basketball, but you have to know how to interpret them. For example, if a team frequently shoots three-pointers, it’s likely the opponent will have more opportunities to grab rebounds with less competition, so a bet that the center will grab more rebounds than usual will gain value.
Is it Easy to Make Accurate Basketball Predictions?
As with other sports, how easy or difficult it is to make accurate basketball predictions will be determined by the probability of those predictions.
It’s easy to predict that Barcelona will beat Gipuzkoa Basket, but it won’t be so easy if we subtract 10 points from Barcelona’s score with a handicap.
Something similar happens in bets on the total points; for an NBA game, it will be easy to exceed 210 points, but more difficult to exceed 230 points, although that difficulty will affect the odds.
In any case, and although the focus should be on the profitability of the events and not exclusively on the difficulty, my advice as a rule is that it is better to err on the side of caution and play with safety margins to make it easier to get basketball predictions right.
Best Betting Sites in Nigeria for Your Basketball Predictions
Not all bookmakers treat basketball the same, and for one reason or another, some bookmakers are more or less recommended for making basketball predictions.
A good range of options in types of bets, being able to watch games via streaming, or having promotions offered, can be issues that make the difference in basketball predictions.
Betano: At Betano, you’ll find the main basketball leagues, including the NBA, EuroLeague, ACB, EuroCup, and Champions League. In the NBA, you can place a wide variety of bets, including on individual players to see if they exceed specific lines for points, rebounds, steals, assists, or blocks.
Sportybet: Sportybet lets you watch NBA games via streaming, a service that enhances the gaming experience. It offers very useful team statistics and allows you to bet on individual players based on factors such as number of three-pointers, steals, assists, rebounds, and more.
Greenbet: For the value of its odds alone, with some matches offering a 0% margin, Greenbet deserves a place on this list. While it doesn’t offer bets on individual player actions, it does allow betting on totals, handicap lines, and times, among other options.
Betking: In addition to being one of the bookmakers that offers the most different types of bets for basketball games, Betking is one of the few bookmakers that includes basketball games among its promotions.
Conclusion
Basketball is one of the best sports you can focus on as a statistical bettor. While it doesn’t guarantee you to win every bet, it certainly increases your winning rate. At Topbets Nigeria, our basketball predictions are carefully sourced from analyzing various statistical trends to provide the best tips possible.
