Betting Tips
Borussia Dortmund and PSG rekindle their friendship for the first leg of their intriguing semifinal match at Westfalenstadion on Wednesday night, following their heated arguments during the Champions League group stage.
Group F deservedly carried the “group of death” tag in this term of UEFA Champions League. Borussia Dortmund and PSG advanced as the top two outfits in the section. Both teams overcame deficits to go to the round of four in their quarterfinal matches against Spanish opponents; BVB defeated Atletico Madrid, while PSG triumphed over Barcelona.
Borussia Dortmund vs PSG
Despite losing the first leg, Borussia Dortmund battled their way through to the quarterfinals against Atletico Madrid. With a 5-4 aggregate score, Borussia Dortmund advanced after winning the second leg. Against Barcelona, Paris Saint-Germain staged a spectacular comeback to advance to the quarterfinals. Paris Saint-Germain won the second leg convincingly enough to tie the aggregate score at 6-4 after losing the first leg.
Given that Paris Saint-Germain defeated Barcelona in the previous round, bookmakers are picking them to win the first leg encounter at Signal Iduna Park. They play Borussia Dortmund on Wednesday, and it seems like a close match because of how evenly matched they are. In this opening leg, Borussia Dortmund has the benefit of a boisterous crowd, which might be pivotal.
After winning another French championship the previous weekend, Luis Enrique’s team is confident going into this semifinal matchup against Borussia Dortmund, who will have to work hard to place in the top four in Germany.
RB Leipzig thrashed Edin Terzic’s team 4-1 on the weekend, dropping them five points short of the top four. Dortmund most likely won’t need to win this year’s competition to return to the top table of Europe the following season, since Germany still appears certain to secure an additional Champions League spot for the upcoming season.
If Borussia Dortmund makes it all the way, no one could argue they don’t deserve it after they defeated PSG, AC Milan, and Newcastle in the group of death. It would be unwise to write off the Germans because they have already defeated Atletico Madrid and PSV Eindhoven in the knockout stages.
Head-to-Head
After being paired together in the group stage, these teams have already played each other in the Champions League this year. The team with the advantage was Paris St-Germain, which first won 2-0 in France before drawing 1-1 at the Westfalen. In their six European encounters, Borussia Dortmund has only defeated PSG once, a 2-1 victory four years ago in which Erling Haaland scored twice. However, that was insignificant because the French team went on to win 2-0 at home to win the round of 16 3-2 overall.
Verdict
Although PSG has been playing well lately, they have a history of imploding in the Champions League, and their 3-3 draw with Le Havre last time out was lackluster even with a rotated squad.
While Dortmund is a formidable team at home and capable of defeating any team on their day, their 4-1 thrashing by Leipzig on Saturday exposed a lot of weaknesses. As a result, it is difficult to support a team in this first leg, and the over 3.5 goals seem to be the best option.
It has produced 26 goals in PSG’s last five games, all of which have been won by the team. Additionally, Dortmund has scored four goals or more in two of their previous three games, including their most recent Champions League match at home, a 4-2 victory over Atletico Madrid.
Before their draw with Le Havre, Luis Enrique’s team won three straight games against Barcelona, Lyon, and Lorient. In the competition’s group stage, they also defeated Dortmund with four points. It seems good for an open game since the Germans will go for it at home in front of a boisterous crowd, and Mbappe and company will be a threat on the break.
Tip: Over 2.5 Goals / BTTS (YES)
Over 2.5 Goals – ❌
BTTS (YES) – ❌
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1X2 Market
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BTTS
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Over 2.5 goals
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