15/08: Daily Football Predictions: Ajax vs Panathinaikos (UCL)

Betting Predictions

Ajax will host Panathinaikos in Amsterdam on Thursday in an attempt to secure a spot in the Europa League playoffs. They lead the series by one goal from the first leg last week.

With a strong start to the new season, the Dutch behemoths now hold the upper hand in their third qualifying round match thanks to their victory in Greece. Panathinaikos finished fourth in last season’s Greek Super League playoffs, and they could only pick up four points from six games in the group stages of the Europa League.

Head-to-Head

Under Francesco Farioli, Ajax has maintained three clean sheets in their last four competitive games. Only three of Panathinaikos’ previous nine Europa League victories underline their difficulties playing in Europe.

Steven Berghuis is an important player for this match because he has scored in each of Ajax’s last two games. Ajax, led by Francesco Farioli, performed admirably to take the lead in a close match in Greece. A goal from Steven Berghuis in the first half gave them a slim lead. Farioli will understand, though, that they had enough issues with their Greek opponents in the first leg to make this second leg anything but a formality.   

Team News

Brian Brobbey was back in the Ajax lineup last week following his post-Euros sabbatical, but Chuba Akpom has started up front this season and is expected to maintain his spot.

In Athens, Steven Berghuis took over for the injured Christian Rasmussen. Berghuis scored a goal assisted by Kian Fitz-Jim, and both players might be back in Francesco Farioli’s starting lineup.

Remko Pasveer, who is 40 years and 277 days old, made history this past weekend when he played in an Eredivisie match for Ajax; he should start in goal going forward since Geronimo Rulli is currently on leave following his Olympic competition.

Due to suspension, Steven Bergwijn missed both the league match on Sunday and the first leg. However, he is expected to return to the squad on Thursday. Greek Super League 2024–25 has not yet begun, but Panathinaikos has benefitted from a full week of preparation.

Therefore, Diego Alonso might start a lineup akin to the one from the first leg, with Alexander Jeremejeff at the head of the attack and Adam Gnezda Cerin in a pivotal midfield role.

Andraz Sporar, Gnezda Cerin’s international partner, will be relegated to the bench as the latter has already scored three goals in Europa League qualifying while starting every match.

Probable Line-Up

Ajax  XI:

Pasveer; Rensch, Sutalo, Baas, Hato; Taylor, Henderson, Fitz-Jim; Berghuis, Akpom, Forbs

Panathinaikos  XI:  

Dragowski; Kotsiras, Ingason, Jedvaj, Mladenovic; Cerin, Arao; Tete, Bakasetas, Djuricic; Jeremejeff

Verdict

Tip Ajax to Win❌

Reason

Ajax can secure their spot in the Europa League playoffs by winning again on Thursday, demonstrating that their stellar start to the Francesco Farioli era may be sustainable.

After returning to the team, Bergwijn and Brobbey ought to be able to overcome Panathinaikos, who will undoubtedly head into the Conference League.

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Tip: Under 2.5 Goalsâś…

Reason

Under Farioli, Ajax has played well on defense, with few goals scored in their last four competitive games. In a similar vein, Panathinaikos has had trouble turning their opportunities into points, especially when facing well-prepared defenses. A low-scoring contest appears to be the most likely result, as Panathinaikos may struggle to find a way through and Ajax will probably take a conservative approach to preserve their lead.

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