2/12 Accurate Football predictions: Newcastle vs Manchester United

Betting Tips

Newcastle United and Manchester United square off in a tantalizing Premier League match on Saturday night at St James’ Park, both looking to recover from terrible evenings in the Champions League. Tuesday’s 1-1 draw with the Ligue 1 champions cruelly robbed the Magpies of a historic victory over Paris Saint-Germain, and the Red Devils let a 3-1 lead go in a 3-3 draw with Galatasaray.

Newcastle vs Manchester United

Newcastle appeared poised to advance to second place in their Champions League group with a decisive 1-0 victory on the road in Paris. Rather, Kylian Mbappe’s penalty in the 98th minute has made the Magpies a considerable outsider to make it to the knockout stages.

They must move past their disappointment and concentrate again on the current Premier League top-four competition. Newcastle is four points behind Aston Villa in fourth place, but a win and a loss against Tottenham may propel them into fifth. The advantage for Eddie Howe’s team is that they are playing this game at home, where they have performed admirably thus far.

On Wednesday, Manchester United’s chances of making it to the round of 16 were severely damaged as the Red Devils let up two goals in the second half and lost 3-1 to Galatasaray. They can only advance in the competition if they beat Bayern Munich at Old Trafford and hope for a draw in the other group match. Given that it’s a draw that definitely feels like a loss, this kind of outcome might destroy squad morale.

Before the draw, United had won their previous two straight games while maintaining two clean sheets. The fact that the visitors have had a great away performance in the PL should at least give them comfort.

Verdict

Based on their performance in the Premier League, Manchester United appears to be entering this match on a high note. Along with a streak of four straight wins while traveling, the Red Devils have won five of their previous six league games.

But those outcomes are masking United’s true problems. In addition to experiencing yet another collapse in their 3-3 draw with Galatasaray on Wednesday, their league results don’t look as good as they do. Despite only winning eight of their thirteen games, they all came against clubs in the lower part of the standings.

The form in which United has been on the road lately—winning at Fulham and all three of the current bottom three—should not be continued this week. The visitors should easily win again after losing all four of their encounters with top-half teams this season. Newcastle has been impressive at home. They should build on their 3-0 victory at Old Trafford last month.

Manchester United have managed to get consistent results on the road so far this season, with four wins from six away matches. However, their underlying metrics are far from impressive and point to a team that is likely overachieving and could be in for some regression. Newcastle are in the opposite situation as their underlying numbers are among the best in the Premier League. Combined with their stellar home form, we see this one finishing in three points for the Magpies.

Tip: Over 2.5 Goals / Newcastle to Win

Over 2.5 Goals – ❌

Newcastle to Win – ✅

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